Joined: 29 Mar 2017
|Posted: Fri Mar 16, 2018 7:06 am Post subject: RB Jerick McKinnon to San Francisco 49ers
|The 49ers needed a replacement for lead back Carlos http://www.billsofficialonlineshop.com/YOUTH+CHARLES+CLAY+JERSEY Hyde, and former Vikings RB Jerick McKinnon was looking for a destination where he'd be "the guy." Consider both sides satisfied after reportedly agreeing to a four-year, Ha Ha Clinton-Dix Jersey $30 million contract on Wednesday.
Though 5-foot-9, 212-pound McKinnon is a bit smaller than Hyde -- and not quite as effective a runner -- he's an elite athlete and a better receiver (which isn't saying much in this case). McKinnon has never exceeded 159 carries in a season (2016), and he's averaging 3.59 yards per carry, including 1.50 after contact, on 309 carries over the past two seasons. Those efficiency rates rank last and second-to-last, respectively, among 22 backs with 300-plus carries over the past two years. McKinnon's receiving volume has been terrific during the two-year span, but his efficiency there also has been weak. Since 2016, he's ninth at the position with 121 targets, but his 7.2 yards per reception ranks 25th among 30 backs with 75-plus targets during the two seasons.
Those numbers should be somewhat alarming after the team just made McKinnon one of the five highest-paid backs in the NFL. Of course, volume is what wins in fantasy football, and McKinnon's paycheck suggests he'll be the unquestioned lead back come Week 1. He'll need to fend off second-year back Matt Breida and Joe Williams, and the team could still add an impact back during the April draft. There's reason to worry about McKinnon's efficiency issues and the fact that he likely has a lower carry ceiling than most, but he's currently positioned for a role that would allow him back-end RB2 production.
The long-rumored connection between the Vikings and Cousins came to fruition on Tuesday, when the two sides agreed to a fully guaranteed four-year, $86 million contract, per Adam Schefter. Cousins joins Minnesota following six seasons in Washington. Initially the backup to Robert Griffin III, Cousins took over as the full-time starter in 2015 and has posted three consecutive top-eight fantasy seasons. Cousins has ranked no lower than 12th in pass attempts, eighth in completions, 10th in yards, 13th in touchdowns, 10th in completion percentage and 11th in yards per attempt each of the past three seasons. He also added 13 touchdowns with his legs during the span, which trailed only Cam Newton (21) and Tyrod Taylor (14).
Cousins put together a strong 2017 season despite struggling to connect with top wide receivers Josh Doctson, Jamison Crowder and Terrelle Pryor Sr. and dealing with injuries to standouts Jordan Reed and Chris Thompson. His supporting cast in Minnesota will be significantly better. Wide receivers Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs were both top-20 fantasy wide receivers last season and combined to handle 46 percent of the team's targets. Cousins will also have second-year Dalvin Cook in the backfield and Kyle Rudolph at tight http://www.wildofficialauthentic.com/Christian_Folin_Jersey_Adidas end. Minnesota additionally has one of the league's best defenses, which might limit Cousins' second-half pass attempts but should shorten the field and allow more scoring opportunities.
At worst, Cousins is a solid quarterback with a good group of assets in Minnesota. The Vikings' offense ranked ninth in the NFL in touchdowns per game (2.4) last season and should only be better with Cousins stepping in for Case Keenum. Cousins is a strong bet for another top-10 fantasy campaign, and he has top-five upside. The Bears entered the offseason with one of the league's worst wide receiver groups, but they changed the narrative quickly by signing Robinson to a reported three-year, $42 million contract.
Robinson missed all of last season with a torn ACL but previously showed his massive upside with 80 receptions on 148 targets for 1,400 yards and Womens Ben McLemore Jersey a position-high 14 touchdowns in 2015. Robinson was fantasy's No. 6 wide receiver in what was his second NFL season. He did a significant portion of his damage deep downfield, as his 15.3 average depth of target (aDOT) was seventh-highest and his 17.5 yards per reception (YPR) sixth-highest at the position. Robinson's hefty touchdown total was fueled by 19 end zone Chuck Foreman Authentic Jersey targets (fourth-most) and a 10.7 OTD (third).
That data is important as we try to understand why Robinson's production fell so far in 2016 despite his seeing more targets (149). Robinson was limited to 73 receptions for 883 yards and six touchdowns. He ranked second at the position in pass routes (665), sixth in targets, fifth in end zone targets (16) and sixth in OTD (8.2) but finished 25th in fantasy points. Robinson's aDOT fell to 13.3, his YPR to 12.1, his catch rate from 54 percent to 49 percent and his run after the catch (RAC) from 4.4 to 2.8, while the rate of balls directed at him that were off-target jumped from 23 percent to 28 percent.
The big difference? A massive drop in production on the deep ball. On balls thrown 20-plus yards down field in 2015, Blake Bortles connected with Robinson on 15 of 43 targets for 591 yards and two touchdowns. In 2016, Robinson caught one of 24 targets for 24 yards and no scores. We talk often about statistical regression to the mean, but that's an all-timer of an overcorrection.
One thing Robinson was never short on in Jacksonville was target volume. He enjoyed 8.0 targets per game as a rookie, 9.25 in 2015 and 9.31 in 2016. Considering Chicago's underwhelming group of pass-catchers, it's fair to assume that Robinson will handle nearly one-quarter of the targets in 2018. That would be enough to allow him strong fantasy production http://www.carolinahurricanesofficialonline.com/Adidas-Sebastian-Aho-Jersey in what will likely be a pass-first offense under new head coach Matt Nagy. Nagy, of course, comes from the Andy Reid coaching tree, and Kansas City operated a pass-first offense during the two seasons Nagy served as offensive coordinator (2016-17).
The big X factor for Robinson's production will be second-year QB Mitchell Trubisky. The 2017 second overall pick showed well despite a poor supporting cast and an ultra-conservative, uncreative offense as a rookie. He was effective overall and, perhaps more importantly as Robinson is concerned, did well throwing the deep ball (10-of-29 for 323 yards, three touchdowns, zero interceptions).